A survey of more than 5,000 people shows 53 per cent support plans to use the peak-hour charge to help fund massive investment in public transport.
A total of 40 per cent say `no', seven per cent are undecided.
Crucially, more people support the proposal than oppose it in EVERY ONE of Greater Manchester's 10 boroughs. Council chiefs have agreed the charge will only be brought if it wins support in at least seven in a December referendum.
In return the government will hand over £1.5bn to revolutionise trams, trains and buses - and allow the area to borrow £1.2bn more against three decades of profits from the charge.
The Mori poll is part of a massive £3m consultation exercise.
It shows backing for the deal is strongest in Wigan, with 58 per cent in favour and 36 per cent against. There are also clear majorities in favour in Manchester (56-38), Rochdale (57-39), Trafford (55-38) and Stockport (52-41).
Support is weakest in Tory-run Bury, where 49 per cent say `yes' compared to 46 per cent saying `no'. The majorities are also slimmer in Salford (50-44), Tameside (51-44), Oldham (51-41) and Bolton (51-40).
The figures will put pressure on the Tory leadership in Trafford and Stockport's Lib Dem chiefs. Both have declared strong opposition to the deal, claiming they are reflecting local attitudes. Conservative-led Bury council also wants a `no' vote.
The question was almost exactly the same as it is expected to appear in the referendum.
It says the charge would not be introduced before summer 2013, when `at least 80 per cent of the proposed new public transport' is up and running.
The findings broadly reflect polls carried out by the M.E.N. and GfK NOP this summer.
Both found majority support in favour but experts thought opposition would grow once the `no' campaign started.
They pointed out that in the last congestion charge referendum, in Edinburgh in 2005, 74 per cent voted against.
Supporters of the Manchester deal say the difference is the massive amount of cash that would go into public transport.
Opponents will take heart from the fact that support was `softer' than opposition.
Only 21 per cent said they would `definitely' accept it with 32 per cent saying `probably'. That compares to 27 per cent saying they would `definitely' reject the deal and 14 per cent saying `probably'.
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Showing comments 1 to 25 and replies | View All
dessie, manchester (19/08/2008 at 07:21)
Simon B, No Taxation without Representation (19/08/2008 at 07:23)
Knowing how last years survey was done, the questions asked, the method used to get the answers, the people contacted, the whole thing will have been designed to get the answers AGMA/GMPTA/E wanted to justify their TiF bid.
They have simply learned their lessons and constructed this survey better.
There will not have been many straightforward questions in the whole survey, and there will not have been any straight yes or no answers, it will have been something like this below.
1 you agree fully with this statement
With number 5 being, you strongly disagree with this statement.
1 through to 3 will have been counted as yes.
A friend of mine was one of the people contacted last year and was very heavily pressured and badgered over the phone to give positive answers; he resisted and kept himself firmly negative, but the interviewer tried very very hard to get yes, I was very surprised at how hard the interviewer tried.
Very importantly, this survey will have been designed, before the decision to have a referendum was made.
(wetsocks), Manchester (19/08/2008 at 07:28)
So it was something like "Do you want lots of busses and fluffy kittens?" then...
shayla (19/08/2008 at 07:28)
Get to the polls!
I have never met anyone, anywhere who supports the charge.
We need someone to make sure they don't manipulate the figures at the vote though.
The sooner we vote, the sooner they will stop wasting our money.
Bean B4, manchester (19/08/2008 at 08:09)
Polky (19/08/2008 at 08:13)
Which MEN poll was that? The one with 81% against the charge or another one?
And the difference between Manchester and Edinburgh is that in Edinburgh the media saw through the lies and sided with the public.
Chris, Irlam (19/08/2008 at 08:27)
I'd give it as much notice as I would a poll run by AGMA - zero.
So we will back the Toll Tax will we?
Really?
Bring on the referendum - then we will see.
curiousyellow, Rusholme (19/08/2008 at 08:28)
PW, Manchester (19/08/2008 at 08:35)
Tameside Blue, Tameside (19/08/2008 at 08:37)
I wonder where they did this poll. No one asked me !!!
No to the CONgestion charge
Edina Clouds, GREAT Manchester (19/08/2008 at 09:01)
I know dozens of people and not ONE of them support this ludicrous tax.
BTW to anyone living in Tameside Denton West....we are having our bus services CUT!
A Bus Driver (19/08/2008 at 09:08)
DaveB, Manchester (19/08/2008 at 09:16)
we deserve better (19/08/2008 at 09:21)
Does anyone know what the question is or likely to be?
If the question has been decided, why all the secrecy? When will we find out?
How does the 'NO' campaign get access to the public consultation money? How much would be available to them?
The article says more than 5000 people were polled, I would expect distributed equally between the 10 boroughs. Just over 500 people per borough and we’ve no idea what the sampling criterion was. You see where I’m going.
Jay B, oldham (19/08/2008 at 09:23)
Dinny, Manchester (19/08/2008 at 09:36)
ghostrider, Derbyshire (19/08/2008 at 10:06)
AngusDangus (19/08/2008 at 10:34)
David Macaulay (19/08/2008 at 10:36)
If they were asked if they wanted £3B spending on transport in GM in return for a congestion charge on 10% of peak hour drivers from 2013 then more would answer yes thinking it would not affect them. They would not think of the crippling effect on businesses in the city and surrounding area, the extra cost of the tax being passed on to customers using heir goods and services, or the difficulties that would be experienced by lower paid workers who have to use their cars at peak times.
I suppose the poll was so "secret" that the loaded nature of the question was not and cannot be revealed.
Obviously the Con-charge proponents will deceive and cheat whenever they can to try and misrepresent the popularity of their blatant tax proposals.
Ace Shakepseare, manchester (19/08/2008 at 10:40)
Richy007, Manchester (19/08/2008 at 10:47)
cheshire1 (19/08/2008 at 10:49)
You can make them mean anything you want.
I'm sick of this propaganda!
Laura Norder, Didsbury (19/08/2008 at 11:00)
And to (mis)quote Delia Smith: 'Let's be 'avin' it'!
d1v1s1onby0, Wigan (19/08/2008 at 11:02)
JoeStalin,Gorton (19/08/2008 at 11:02)