Policy Exchange said 'hard-headed analysis' showed regeneration was 'impossible' in places that now found themselves in 'the wrong place at the wrong time'.
It said mass migration to areas around London and a massively expanded Oxford and Cambridge was the only answer to decades of failure.
The conclusions were immediately rejected by both the government and the Conservatives - to whom Policy Exchange have been closely linked.
The report said Manchester - while doing relatively well - lacked the economic clout to lift former mill towns like Oldham, Bolton and Rochdale. Even Liverpool, it said, was suffering 'in the shadow' of its great north western rival and could not realistically hope for revival.
The 'brutal' truth for people in such areas, it concluded, was that staying put would mean higher chances of unemployment and the prospect of relatively low wages.
"The North-South divide is not a transient problem that reflects a short-lived hiatus as manufacturing declines and service sector economies take its place," said the authors. "Nor does it reflect a failure of government policy to do what is needed.
"Rather, it is evidence that the North, the powerhouse of the industrial revolution, is now a less desirable location for business for reasons that are geographical and entirely outside its control or that of central and local government.
"Liverpool was once a booming city made rich on the cotton trade. The same was true for place like Oldham and Bolton, the cotton capitals of the world. They rivalled London, the financial capital of the world. But although London remains one of the great financial centres, Liverpool, Oldham and Bolton are not booming, because the cotton industry proved to have no future in Britain. It is no fault of Lancashire that cotton proved to be a less secure basis for long-term prosperity than finance.
"Manchester, Leeds and Newcastle all have decided strengths, but they are not successful enough to deliver prosperity to neighbouring towns, such as Rochdale, Bradford and Sunderland, in the way that London is able to support relatively poor communities in North Kent and South Essex."
The report said rules should be relaxed so that people in Wigan and Warrington could be put on the list for social housing in Wandsworth and Woking.
And it claimed every one of the three million new homes planned by the government should be shared between the capital and Oxford and Cambridge - which could then expand as quickly as Manchester during the industrial revolution.
The report said the case for expanding Manchester was `dramatically weakened' by the low land prices in nearby towns like Rochdale.
"It is hard to see the wider Manchester area as short of housing," said the report. "It would be odd to expand the city dramatically when there is so little demand for housing in nearby towns."
The report will come as an embarrassment to David Cameron, the Tory leader, as he is about to embark on a tour of the north. Policy Exchange has been called the `Tories' favourite think tank', and seats in places like Warrington and Bolton are likely to prove crucial to the Conservatives' general election chances.
Tory frontbencher Chris Grayling said: "This independent report does not reflect Conservative party policy and we do not agree with its conclusions. We wholeheartedly support the regeneration of northern cities."
A spokesperson for the Department of Communities and Local Government said: "We totally disagree with the conclusions of this report. It's alarming that this `think tank' is labelling our great cities as `beyond revival' and arguing that we should target less effort on them, when those areas that have received regeneration funding have shown the greatest improvements."
You need Flash player 8+ and JavaScript enabled to view this video.
460
275
0
false
Tweet

Showing comments 1 to 25 and replies | View All
Ace Shakepseare, manchester (13/08/2008 at 11:34)
Goldengrrrl, Leeds (13/08/2008 at 11:35)
chenny banana, longsight (13/08/2008 at 11:36)
midway, West Germany (13/08/2008 at 11:56)
Kurt Stevens, Sale (13/08/2008 at 11:56)
The upcoming recession will highlight the lack of employment opportunities outside of busy city centres, as the old manufacturing powerhouses that used to dot the North West are long gone.
I know of at least 3 close relatives & friends that have moved further South in the last 12 months for employment reasons, the grass is certainly greener down there.
Anne Wilson (13/08/2008 at 12:14)
Octavius Tinsworth Ace (13/08/2008 at 12:22)
They can deny all association with this think tank but that's transparently an attempt to keep hold of their support in the north. I'm certain we'll see a totally different attitude to such matters after the next general election, assuming they get in.
ebble, manchester (13/08/2008 at 12:23)
Edina Clouds, GREAT Manchester (13/08/2008 at 12:30)
The Truth (13/08/2008 at 12:36)
Matt Smith (13/08/2008 at 12:48)
Octavius Tinsworth Ace (13/08/2008 at 12:55)
The fact that this country is so London-centric is entirely the fault of successive governments' policies over the course of centuries but particularly those in the 1980s, a decade in which so many traditional industries were allowed to die without any attempt to look after those communities which relied on them. The government at the time was far too busy doing what they could to strengthen London as a major financial centre.
The responsibility lies squarely with central government to address these imbalances but the trouble is neither of the major parties will invest in the right areas (e.g. transport infrastructure). They'll talk big and eventually throw the regions the odd scrap here and there but the serious money will still end up down south. (What was it, £33 billion to Transport for London over the next ten years...?)
Gary SK13 (13/08/2008 at 13:08)
ebble, manchester (13/08/2008 at 13:17)
Well, it's because the North is relatively poor that the BBC is moving up here. The government has put pressure on it to spread itself about more to regenerate towns like Salford. The BBC staff involved hate the proposed Salford move and most of them won't be coming North if they can possibly avoid it.
It's about time the government accelerated the movement of many more government jobs away from the south East. OK, most of the movers and shakers probably need to be down there near London, but these days there is no reason why thousands of middle-ranking and lower government jobs can't be moved away from the South East. Many of these people could sit at a computer and do their work just as well in Sunderland, Burnley or Liverpool as they could in London.
MPs gravy train, UK (13/08/2008 at 13:26)
Without a co-ordinated county wide plan there is no hope.
ethanretrick (13/08/2008 at 13:51)
The standard of living in my opinion is better up north than down south. Why? I can afford a house, my travel to work time is 30 mins as opposed to the previous 1hr 20mins. I can get into Manchester in 25 mins - it was over 1hr into London. I can get to the Peaks in 45mins and the Lakes in 1hr. The south-east has nothing like the Lakes or the Peak district - just the meagre south downs - mere mole hills!!!
The south-east is dominated by London. Anything south of London, other than Brighton is served by poor road and rail links. We're lucky we've got all the motorways up here.
What annoys me and why I think the think tank has reached these conclusions is the difference in investment between the two regions.
Manchester lost the super casino.
Alistair Darling cancelled the expansion of the metrolink and we now need a congestion charge to get funds.
London gets Crossrail - £10bln.
London is looking for an additional airport, over and above Gatwick, Heathrow, Luton, City and Stanstead. Don't forget Boris Johnson recently slated Gatwick and said it was run by chimps!!! Heathrow has just been expanded!!
I say, ignore the think tank - it's probably full of southerners anyway. Stay in the north west and create our own independent state!! :-)
To say it's a Tory idea is wrong - Labour have pulled the plug on a number of North West initiatives in recent years.
hjk (13/08/2008 at 13:56)
my shoe than follow sheep.
Octavius Tinsworth Ace (13/08/2008 at 13:58)
I think we should be wary of taking this report too seriously, though, given that (a) the think-tank is London-based, and (b) they are distinctly right-wing and likely to be critical of anything between 1997 and the present.
Tony Stewart (13/08/2008 at 14:00)
In the past fifty years alone London has lost ground to New York, Frankfurt and Tokyo.
I would argue that in the coming decades if Britain does nothing to stop the decline of the WHOLE COUNTRY through redeveloping its own manufacturing base and heavy industries (i.e. producing tangible things not just invisible profits that disappear in an instant when the credit bubble bursts), then in another fifty years Dubai, Singapore and Shanghai will look at London in the same condescending manner that London looks at Manchester, Liverpool and Leeds now.
David /2 (13/08/2008 at 14:08)
Bill Douglas (13/08/2008 at 14:53)
However, I think we all have to be honest enough to stand back and consider this dispassionately. Unfortunately, when I do that, I'm afraid to say that the report is right.
Robcnash, Woodley (13/08/2008 at 14:55)
If global warming does take a hold and the seas rise like they say they will, all that'll be left is the north!
; )
Mark, South Manchester (13/08/2008 at 15:10)
sore thumb (13/08/2008 at 15:19)
GOD IS A BLUE, Failsworth (13/08/2008 at 15:32)